Will there be a William storm before a Kate storm?

Question

This year there will be an Atlantic tropical cyclone named William if there are at least 21 named storms. The next storm named Kate would occur during the 2027 Atlantic hurricane season if there are at least 11 named storms.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 4% chance (3 traders, as of Apr 24, 2025).