Will the Democratic Party nominate a female presidential candidate in the 2028 US Presidential elections?

Question

Resolves N/A if Trump installs himself as emperor for life, or the election does not happen as scheduled for whatever reason

Female = self-identifying

Resolves after the DNC

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 27% chance (24 traders, as of Jan 14, 2026).