Will I run a sub-45 min 10k by the end of this year?

Question

My PB is 53:57, set in May 2024. Before that it was 56:24 set in Mar 2024 and  57:00 set in August 2023. I dropped off at the second half of the year last year but did ~560km overall last year. This year i plan to be a lot more consistent, and structured, with a goal of a sub-45 10k. Will I manage?

I'll provide regular updates as the year goes along and answer any trader questions. I'll only trade YES in this market.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Oct 23, 2025 by Manifold Markets prediction market.