$HOWELL 🏈

Question

This market is a sports stock and resolves to Pro Football Reference’s Hall of Fame Monitor (HOFm) end-of-career score for Sam Howell.

A score of 100 is around the average modern-era NFL Hall of Fame inductee. A score of 80 or above means they're a good candidate to eventually get in, or they’re the highest-profile borderline candidates.

See full lists of HOFm scores for NFL players with at least 50 career games here.

This market resolves to the player’s HOFm score, rounded to the nearest integer, at the beginning of the NFL season following the announcement of the player’s retirement or effective retirement (no longer actively seeking employment).

If a HOFm score for this player is not published at market close (for example, as of market creation, a score is only published for players with 50+ career games), this market will resolve N/A.

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.030784248113285596 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of Aug 20, 2024).