🏈 How many games will each NFL quarterback in the Class of 2023 start in their career? (1 start = 1%)

Question

Resolves to the sum of Games Started (GS) for both regular season and playoffs as listed on the Passing table on each player’s profile page on Pro Football Reference at the end of their career.

1% for each 1 game started. For example, a player who has started 45 regular season games and 5 playoff games would resolve to 50% upon their career ending. 100+ games started is immediately eligible to resolve 100% (YES).

End of career = announced retirement or otherwise inactive as indicated by Pro Football Reference (not bold throughout site - search, etc.)

2023 NFL draft list here: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2023/draft.htm

Answers may included undrafted quarterbacks who were rookies that year.

Market for previous year’s class:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/dglid/-how-many-games-will-each-nfl-quart)Market for following year’s class:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/dglid/-how-many-games-will-each-nfl-quart-ea1a70ed3638)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, C.J. Stroud, followed by Bryce Young and Anthony Richardson are most likely. See the market for live updates (7 traders, as of Sep 30, 2026).