Will Finland recognize a state of Palestine before the next Parliamentary Elections (Q2 2027)

Question

Shorter fuse dupllicate of https://manifold.markets/dgga/will-finland-recognize-a-state-of-p

Resolves YES if this wikipedia page shows Finland as having recognized the state of Palestine diplomatically, before the next Parliamentary Elections (Likely April 18th 2027).

EDIT: the article must settle and remain, a malicious edit will not resolve the market. I reserve the right to change the resolution condition in the case of the linked wikipedia article structurally changing, wikipedia becoming less trustworthy or suffering wide disinformation attacks, or any other reason that significantly undermines the spirit of the market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 10% chance (11 traders, as of Feb 15, 2026).