Which months of 2026 will there be a Starship–Superheavy launch?

Question

"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines.

Only launches planned to go to space (i.e. >100km altitude) count.

Relevant timezone, for determining which month a launch is in, is local time at the launch site.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, September, followed by October and August are most likely. See the market for live updates (49 traders, as of Aug 17, 2026).