What fraction of moderators polled will say the linked question about AI Instagram accounts should resolve YES?

Question

@Jacy and I disagree about how the below market should resolve:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/RealityQuotient/will-an-ai-account-on-instagram-hav-f99c0b3c841c)The creator is inactive and a moderator will need to resolve, but since Jacy and I disagree, it shouldn't be either if us. Sometime probably within the next 24h, I intend to ask for a discord-react poll of moderators, excluding Jacy and me.

What proportion of them will say it should resolve YES? This market resolves to the result, as a percentage.

I'll try to draw some attention to the poll and get a reasonable number of responses (not every mod, but I'll try to get more than like, three). Jacy and I might even ping specific mods. Clearly the responses may be biased by who we ping, and which mods are active. I'll resolve this market after the poll hasn't gotten any responses for 24h, best I can tell. I'll use the results of it as they appear at that time, which means people can change their vote if they want.

If the poll doesn't happen, or something else unanticipated makes this market not make sense anymore (including the poll being gamed for the purposes of rigging this market), it resolves N/A.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Jan 11, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.