Will the Taliban represent Afghanistan at the United Nations before 2030?

Question

The UN Credentials Committee approves each member's representation. In Dec 2021 the committee voted to defer whether to recognize the Taliban's desired representative to the UN. Currently representation of Afghanistan is still held by an appointee of the previous democratic government. The Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan generally lacks international recognition.

See also:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-the-taliban-represent-afghanis-49897feecebe)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 63% chance (17 traders, as of Jan 1, 2026).