Will Olivia Chow be re-elected mayor of Toronto in 2026?

Question

Toronto is holding its next mayoral elections in 2026. Olivia Chow won the 2023 mayoral by-election.

Will Olivia Chow be re-elected mayor of Toronto in the next mayoral election?

See also:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/who-will-be-elected-mayor-of-toront)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 67% chance (20 traders, as of May 4, 2026).