Will Marc Lore's planned city of Telosa begin construction before 2030?

Question

Telosa is an intentional community project proposed by ex-Walmart president Marc Lore. Telosa is planned to be built either in a southwest US desert or in Appalachia and currently expects its first residents to move in by 2030.

Will construction of Telosa begin before the end of this decade?

See also:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/cash/will-the-peter-thielbacked-planned)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 45% chance (6 traders, as of Aug 18, 2024).