Starship reaches space in 2023 AND A human lands on the Moon by 2028

Starship reaches space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028

Starship does not reach space in 2023 AND A human lands on the Moon by 2028

Starship does not reach space in 2023 AND No human lands on the Moon by 2028

 is the only crewed Moon landing scheduled for before 2028, but there have been fears that if Starship is delayed the mission may not fly.

The answer will be chosen according to the resolution of these two markets: