Conditional on China beating the USA to the Moon, will a female walk on the Moon as part of China's first such mission?

Question

To be clear, this question is conditional on China beating the USA to be the first country since 1972 to land an astronaut on the Moon (but there is a character limit for the title, so I couldn't say it there).

China's first such mission = China's first manned lunar landing

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 42% chance (7 traders, as of Mar 27, 2026).