Will I get into the finals in next debate competition?

Question

It's online, and the resolution is "The benefits of resource extraction in the Arctic Circle outweigh the harms"

Why I might do so:

I'm a native English speaker, and so is my debating partner, and the competition's in China

I think I am a generally good debator

Why I may not do so:

Base rate is low

I don't think we have done enough practice debates

The debate competition's tomorrow.

Trying to rig this to resolve YES by giving me help is encouraged.

I reserve the right to buy YES shares on this market, until the start of the semifinals debate.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Nov 5, 2023 by Manifold Markets prediction market.