Will unlimited 3% cash back on the Robinhood Gold Card last at least until the end of 2030?

Question

https://robinhood.com/creditcard/

From the NYTimes:

Here’s the first thing to know about the new Robinhood credit card that promises 3 percent cash back on all purchases, without limits: Yesterday, when I asked Vlad Tenev, the company’s chief executive, to guarantee that it would stay at that level for 18 months, he would not.

Resolves YES if, as of the end of 2030, the card still offers:

3% cash back

On all standard purchases

For up to at least $50,000 in purchases per month

With a monthly fee of <$10/month

Resolves NO otherwise.

inspired by @Sketchy @/Sketchy/will-the-robinhood-gold-card-still

[link preview]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 35% chance (5 traders, as of Jun 16, 2026).