Will the US Department of Education cease to exist during the Trump administration?

Question

Resolves YES when the Wikipedia article is changed to past tense (and stable of course)

Otherwise resolves NO when he leaves office

Drastic reduction in power does NOT count (this market is intended to have a more defined resolution than the already existing one)

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 9% chance (79 traders, as of Oct 27, 2026).