Who will win the 2026 Super Rapid & Blitz Poland (GCT 1st event)?

Question

The Rapid and Blitz in Warsaw (May 5-9) is the first event in the 2026 Grand Chess Tour. This market will resolve to the overall winner of the event (rapid and blitz combined), as announced by the organizers. If for whatever reason the joint winners are announced, they will each resolve to equal percentage.

If a player is replaced, I will edit their option to their replacement.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Hans Niemann, followed by Fabiano Caruana and Vladimir Fedoseev are most likely. See the market for live updates (11 traders, as of May 9, 2026).