Which chess matches will Hans Niemann win?

Question

Hans Niemann has been organizing a series of 1v1 chess matches. For each match, the option will resolve Yes if Niemann wins, No if he loses, and 50% if it's tied. If a match is decided in tiebreaks that WILL count as decisive.

If the dates of a match change it will still. If a match is canceled it will resolve N/A. I will likely add more matches if they are announced.

Original announcement: https://x.com/HansMokeNiemann/status/2044857896803168497

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, vs Jorden van Foreest (May 24-26) and vs Ian Nepomniachtchi (May 29-June 1) are most likely. See the market for live updates (13 traders, as of May 29, 2026).