Credit Default Swap Market 2025

Question

Each answer is a Credit Default Swap for a specific borrower or loan. Each CDS resolves Yes if the borrower is 30 days late on a loan payment due in 2025. If the creditors give an extension or forgive a loan, the loan will not be considered late.

Exact terms TBD. I will not trade on this market.

Let me know if you don't want a CDS

created about you and I will N/A it.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, @amitiscoo, followed by @jim and @spiderduckpig are most likely. See the market for live updates (24 traders, as of Mar 21, 2026).