Will any of the top 10 countries in The Economist’s 2025 Democracy Index have a directly elected head of government?

Question

Background

The Economist annually publishes the ‘Democracy Index’, which purports to measure democracy around the world.

No country that directly elects its head of government has ever ranked in the top ten of the Democracy Index. In 2024, the highest-ranking country to have a directly elected head of government was Uruguay at #15.

Resolution procedure

This market will resolve YES if a country that directly elects its head of government is one of the ten highest-ranking countries in the 2025 edition of The Economist’s Democracy Index.

This market will resolve NO if none of the ten highest-ranking countries in the 2025 edition of The Economist’s Democracy Index directly elect their respective heads of government.

Close date

This market is intended to close before the 2025 edition of The Economist’s Democracy Index is published. The close date is subject to change.

Further information

I permit Manifold's moderators to resolve this market in a manner consistent with the resolution procedure once the relevant information becomes available.

I will not bet in this market.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 9, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.