Which countries will be designated state sponsors of terrorism by the US at the end of 2027?

Question

Resolution criteria

Each option in this market will resolve YES if the named country is designated as a state sponsor of terrorism by the US Department of State at the close date.

Each option in this market will resolve NO if the named country is not designated as a state sponsor of terrorism by the US Department of State at the close date.

Close date

This market will close at 04:59 UTC on 1 January 2028.

Clarifications

As the resolution of this market is unlikely to be subjective, I may trade in this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, North Korea, followed by Cuba and Iran are most likely. See the market for live updates (17 traders, as of Oct 5, 2026).