How many games will the Tasmania Devils win in their inaugural AFL season?

Question

This market will resolve to the total number of games won by the Tasmania Devils in their inaugural season in the Australian Football League (men's) competition.

The following will count toward the total:

Games played for premiership points during the home-and-away season

Finals

The following will not count toward the total:

Pre-season games

Exhibition matches

Practice matches

Match simulations

The Tasmania Devils are expected to enter the league in 2028.

Manifold Markets · Answer

The current median estimate is 0.36888184428353327 according to Manifold Markets prediction market (as of May 13, 2026).