Will expressive negative opinions on people with AI partners be considered hate speech by 2030?

Question

Viliam suggests this, perhaps in jest: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/WaDFCrd6KEwojLXgj/ai-43-functional-discoveries?commentId=tR5MrnfvmPvngYfzG

Zvi: I wonder how reactions will change when people realize (or are reminded) that actually AI boyfriends are in higher demand than AI girlfriends, at least at current tech levels.

Viliam: Expressive negative opinions on people with AI partners will be considered hate speech?

Resolves to YES if such talk is officially considered 'hate speech' by at least one of (USA, EU, UK, Harvard University) OR is grounds for moderator action on at least one of (Twitter, Facebook, TikTok, YouTube).

Resolves to NO otherwise.

House rules apply, including on early resolution.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 22% chance (77 traders, as of Feb 22, 2026).