Will "Dune: Part Two" receive 50% as many perfect scores (i.e. 100) from critics on Metacritic as "Oppenheimer"?

Question

Currently, Metacritic shows 69 (critic) reviews for "Oppenheimer": https://www.metacritic.com/movie/oppenheimer/critic-reviews/.

By my count, it received a perfect score of 100 in 27 of these reviews.

50% of 27 is 13.5. This is the threshold "Dune: Part Two" needs to surpass.

This question will resolve YES if within one month after release (April 1st), Metacritic has recorded 14 or more reviews for "Dune: Part Two" with the score of 100: https://www.metacritic.com/movie/dune-part-two/ . If there are 13 or fewer reviews with the score of 100, it resolves NO.

Details:

For reference, Metacritic shows 68 reviews for "Dune" (2021). By my count, 8 of these reviews have a score of 100.

I am not normalizing for the total number of reviews. All that matters is the total number recorded by Metacritic with a score of 100.

I am allowing for a full month after release to give plenty of time for reviews to arrive. But occasionally a few reviews will appear on Metacritic more than a month after release. These will not be counted.

If any scenarios for resolution are unclear, please ask.

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

No — resolved on Apr 1, 2024 by Manifold Markets prediction market.