In 2050, we still won't be able to exactly duplicate a strawberry.

Question

There is this market about an @EliezerYudkowsky prediction. 2050 is the date from the market as the video doesn't predict a time-frame, but it is supposed to be possible with "very primitive nanotechnology or very advanced biotechnology".

The strawberry should look "the same under like a Standard Optical microscope".  I will add that it should be edible and taste the same (flavor and texture) as the original strawberry, because why would anyone copy it otherwise ?

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Jotto999/if-we-had-an-ai-in-the-2020s-that-c)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 54% chance (28 traders, as of Apr 10, 2026).