Tornado count during March 2026

Question

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Background Information:

On average, 80 tornadoes occur in March each year, however during March 2025 there were 194-299 tornadoes. The average for the last 5 Marches is 179 tornadoes.

https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/monthly-report/tornadoes/202503

Related Market:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/Zacd/will-a-tornado-outbreak-occur-on-ei)

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Above 200 and Above 250 are most likely. See the market for live updates (14 traders, as of Mar 31, 2026).