Will there be a negative leap second by end of 2035?

Question

Resolves YES if there is a negative leap second by the end of 2035 (UTC).

Resolves NO if leap seconds are abolished by the end of 2035 (UTC).

Resolves NO if neither event happens by the end of 2035 (UTC).

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 19% chance (16 traders, as of Oct 18, 2026).