Every day, shortly after midnight UTC, I'll roll a 64-sided die to get a number from 0 to 63. If I roll a 0, the market resolves. If there was a nuclear weapon detonation (as defined in 

) between the start of 2022 and that midnight UTC, the market resolves YES. Otherwise it resolves NO.

As long as the market hasn't resolved yet, the expected time until resolution is always 64 days.

I will look at the last hash before midnight UTC 

Edit: starting with Oct 30, I will instead use first hash after midnight UTC instead.

Close date updated to 2022-11-05 10:13 pm