Ju Wenjun - Vaishali score in the 2026 FIDE Women World Chess Championship

Question

If it is not tied, resolves to the score difference of the classical portion. If the tournament is postponed until 2027 or later, this market will still resolve to the result of that tournament, as long as it is still Ju Wenjun vs Vaishali. If a player wins in a landslide of +6 or more, the tournament is cancelled, or one of the players withdraws, this will resolve OTHER.

Example:

if Ju Wenjun scored 6.5 and Vaishali scored 7.5 then this resolves as Vaishali +1

if Ju Wenjun scored 8 and Vaishali scored 6 then this resolves as Ju Wenjun +2

Past year results in modern format:

2025: Ju Wenjun +4

2023: Ju Wenjun +1

2022: Ju Wenjun wins by tiebreak

2018 match: Ju Wenjun +1

2016: Hou Yifan +3

2013: Hou Yifan +4

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Ju Wenjun +1, followed by Ju Wenjun +2 and Ju Wenjun wins by tiebreak are most likely. See the market for live updates (4 traders, as of Nov 2, 2026).