Will Lee Zeldin still be a member of Trump’s cabinet by the end of his term?

Question

Lee Zeldin has been picked to lead the EPA

https://x.com/LeeMZeldin/status/1856068555865026956

If he’s still in office by the end of Trump’s term (including cases where Trump dies or leaves office early), this resolved Yes. If he is never officially appointed once Trump takes office, it resolves n/a. If he leaves because he dies or becomes sick, it resolves n/a. If he leaves because he voluntarily quits for reasons unrelated to health, it resolves No.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 47% chance (4 traders, as of Apr 4, 2026).