Will I believe my prediction about AI enabling more SWEs to solve less lucrative problems by shrinking team sizes to have been fulfilled by EoY 2030

Question

Resolution here is purely based on my personal judgement, though if someone wants to try and sway that judgement with empirical evidence that will probably be very effective.

Twitter thread that encapsulates my claim here:

[tweet]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 68% chance (7 traders, as of Jul 11, 2023).