What AI model is best?

Question

I will resolve to my own subjective opinion as well as a poll. I intend to use the free tier. I will probably resolve to percentages.

Feel free to try to convince me, I created this market with that purpose in mind.

Right now, I kinda toggle between multiple at random, Gemini, Claude, Perplexity, Grok, and ChatGPT.

I will not bet and try to avoid being excessively subjective. Last human trader to bet gets 25 mana.

Update 2026-03-28 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Free tier means standard consumer-facing interfaces requiring only an account signup; no free trials or credit card benefits count

Options will resolve to individual percentages that do not need to sum to 100%

Creator will announce intended percentages before resolving and may open a poll if there is enough demand

Update 2026-06-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A poll has been opened and will be factored into resolution

Resolution will be approximately 50% based on poll results and 50% based on creator's opinion

Market has been extended for a few more days before resolving

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, ChatGPT, followed by Claude and Qwen are most likely. See the market for live updates (26 traders, as of Jul 4, 2026).