Will Tumbles and Polymarket resolve the same way regarding "Starmer out before July?"

Question

Resolves YES if the following markets both resolve the same way:

Starmer out by...? (June 30)

[link preview](https://manifold.markets/embed/Tumbles/keir-starmer-out-before-july-tumble)

Manifold Markets · Accepted Answer

Yes — resolved on Jun 23, 2026 by Manifold Markets prediction market.