Keir Starmer out before July? (Tumbles Judgement)

Question

Resolves YES if Starmer stops being the prime minister of UK OR officially announces resignation/removal, before market close date.

I won't bet in this market.

Resolution is left up to Tumbles's judgement. Feel free to ask questions about resolution, but be aware that ultimately resolution will be based on Tumbles's estimation of the spirit of the market.

I haven't really been following UK politics lately, but I expect common sense and a quick google search will be sufficient for resolving this market.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Very likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 83% chance (4 traders, as of Jun 21, 2026).