Will the Global Carbon Reward be realized in a substantial form by 2040?

Question

The Global Carbon Reward is a proposed mechanism to incentivize decarbonization of the world economy, and for establishing and funding a new economic sector dedicated to carbon dioxide removal, using monetary policy.

https://globalcarbonreward.org/

Resolves YES only if the mechanism is endorsed by the GCR organization and implemented with a funding of at least $100B.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 26% chance (7 traders, as of Dec 16, 2024).