Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?

Question

Based on this post

https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JWuPdMaPiNy7AD3AX/potentially-actionable-opportunity-eliminating-the-new-world

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 10% chance (23 traders, as of Jul 7, 2026).