Which of these nations / defacto independent territories will survive 2025?

Question

Survive here means any controlled territory with a permanent population under their control and not under the control of any other government

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Hamas Gaza and Zapatista territories / ACGAZ / EZLN are most likely. See the market for live updates (32 traders, as of Dec 20, 2025).