How much money from Project Stargate will actually get invested within four years?

Question

This refers to the OpenAI, Oracle and Softbank joint venture.

Update 2025-23-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution of Additional Options:

Any new options added beyond the original set and the "Other" category will be resolved as N/A.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, >$500B, followed by $100B or less and >$400B – ≤$500B are most likely. See the market for live updates (36 traders, as of Oct 3, 2026).