Will Joe Biden survive through the end of 2028 if Trump wins the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Question

If Biden Wins Presidency:

(https://manifold.markets/embed/StopPunting/will-joe-biden-survive-through-the)Will Trump Survive:

[markets]

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 46% chance (27 traders, as of Aug 10, 2026).