NFL Season 2026/27 or later (including Preseason)

Patrick Mahomes suffered a season-ending torn ACL in his left knee in the closing minutes of Sunday's 16-13 loss to the Chargers on December 14, 2025. The market resolves based on when Mahomes takes his next NFL snap:

Resolution will be determined by official NFL game records and box scores available at 

Mahomes is expected to have surgery in the coming days and will miss the team's offseason program, with his availability for the start of next season in question. Further specifics on his recovery or a timeline for his return are not yet known. Mahomes, 30, had managed to stay free of long-term injuries during his NFL career, with his longest previous absence being two games in 2019 after dislocating his right kneecap.

ACL recovery timelines typically range from 9-12 months for NFL quarterbacks. The exact recovery timeline and return date will depend on surgical outcomes and rehabilitation progress, which remain uncertain. If Mahomes experiences complications or setbacks during recovery, his return could be delayed beyond the 2025-26 season.

The market resolves based on when Patrick Mahomes takes his next NFL snap following his December 14, 2025 ACL injury. Resolution will be determined by official NFL game records and box scores available at 

Mahomes suffered a season-ending torn ACL in his left knee during the final moments of Kansas City's 16-13 loss to the Chargers on December 14, 2025. He is expected to undergo surgery and will miss the team's offseason program. Prior to this injury, Mahomes had avoided significant long-term injuries throughout his NFL career, with his longest previous absence being two games in 2019 following a right knee dislocation.

ACL recovery for NFL quarterbacks typically requires 9-12 months. The exact timeline depends on surgical outcomes and rehabilitation progress, both of which remain uncertain. Complications or setbacks during recovery could delay his return beyond the 2025-26 season.