Will any part of America be under martial law during midterm elections?

Question

Update 2026-01-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES if:

Martial law is active during voting hours

It has been declared by someone with authority to do so

This applies to any part of America

The declaration can be for any reason

Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 14% chance (59 traders, as of Aug 14, 2026).