🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027? (USA)

Question

🏛💸Capital Gains Tax Increase Before 2027?

Resolution/Rules

If a bill becomes law before 2027 that the effect of raising the top federal capital gains tax rate on net long-term capital gains to be strictly greater than 20%, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

About

People are placing bets on the likelihood of a tax increase, as the administration seeks to raise revenue and address income inequality. A capital gains tax hike could have a significant impact on investors and the stock market, making it a closely watched bet.

Clarification:

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Unlikely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 6% chance (21 traders, as of Sep 16, 2026).