She will not overtake him before polling day

Nate Silver has left 538 but he continues to maintain his Presidential election model which attempts to put a figure on how likely each of the candidates are to win the electoral college and therefore win the election. The model is here (the actual model itself is only visible to subscribers, but the commentary is above the paywall):

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

Since the Presidential model came out, the model has shown a tight race which means entertaining swings for those of us anxiously watching the model to see whether our favoured candidate is around 45% or 55%! The main movements have been:

Will Harris regain the lead in Nate Silver's model? If so, in which week will she 

Related market - Silver's old home at 538 gives Harris a 52% chance of victory. Will Trump overtake Harris there? 