Will FTX creditors get back more than 100%?

Question

If FTX has excess funds, bankruptcy team could potentially pay interest on claims.

This market is about FTX international creditors.

Update 2025-10-13 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES only when larger claim holders (not just those under $50k) receive more than 100% of their claims. The fact that creditors under $50k have already received 100% plus 9% interest is not sufficient for resolution.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Almost certainly — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 97% chance (55 traders, as of Apr 7, 2026).