Closes when it resolves yes or until a peaceful and successful transfer of power has occurred. 

Following the Republican loss, a state's Republican Secretary of State and some county officials begin "finding" large numbers of previously uncounted ballots in heavily Republican areas. The number would be enough to flip their swing state. When challenged, they insist these are legitimate ballots that were misplaced. Investigation shows signs of forgery but isn't conclusive. A group of MAGA-aligned election officials had been meeting privately in the months before, discussing "election integrity contingencies."

Because it would flip the state AND is a swing state, it would resolve YES IFF the evidence strongly supports forgery/foul play, such that a prediction market would be >90% (if the investigation is expect to conclude soon, I would wait for that). If it's a red state, it wouldn't resolve YES.

If this sub question resolves "YES, in favor of Republicans", this main question also resolves YES:

https://manifold.markets/news/us-democracy

I don't bet on my questions with subjective criteria.