For a YES resolution, I don't require it be competetive with the state of the art at the time. It must be comparable to chatgpt (not strictly as good as, but not far inferior), and I require it actually run on a single consumer GPU,

The strongest evidence will be what the LAION folk themselves say; if they think they're released a worthwhile chatbot, then this market will presumptively be a YES.

If somebody wants to propose a precise metric for resolution (prior to release, obviously), I'll consider it and modify this description.