Will expert consensus in 2050 be that Japonic languages are related to another major family?

Question

Currently there is no consensus connection. "Major" here is to be interpreted liberally. For instance, any family containing a currently spoken language (that is not itself in the Japonic family) will count.

Relation via "lots of words are borrowed" won't count. If expert opinion evolves to a point where this question is nonsensical, I'll resolve N/A.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 34% chance (7 traders, as of Apr 20, 2026).