AI snitch arrest by EOY2026?

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2026, there is a publicly reported incident where an individual is arrested based on information provided by an artificial intelligence system that autonomously reported or "snitched" on the individual's activities, leading directly to the arrest. The AI system must have independently identified and reported the behavior without human initiation. Verification will be based on credible news sources reporting such an event.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Probably not — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 33% chance (17 traders, as of Mar 22, 2026).