How many accusations of plagiarism against MIT faculty will be release by Bill Ackman’s investigation?

Question

After allegations of plagiarism were published against his wife Neri Oxman, famous billionaire investor Bill Ackman tweeted that he is going to conduct a review of MIT faculty’s work for plagiarism. He said they would make the findings of the investigation public.

How many faculty members will they accuse of plagiarism?

Bill Ackman’s tweet: https://x.com/billackman/status/1743407502312505795?s=46&t=A87brvrcPNLRU2RL6LBEZQ

For reference, MIT has around 1,000 faculty (https://www.mit.edu/about/#:~:text=135%20foreign%20countries.-,Faculty,Each%20feeds%20the%20other.)

Clarifications (these will be updated if there are questions):

1) In this market I will not get into how serious each specific plagiarism allegation may be. If they release an allegation for a faculty member with an instance they claim as plagiarism, it will be counted.

2) If the investigation is not carried out, or the results are not shared publicly in any form, I will resolve as “0 faculty”.

3) If there is reasonable doubt about the number or I cannot easily ascertain the number, I will resolve to the closest option or options.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, 1-10 Faculty, followed by 10-20 faculty and 0 faculty are most likely. See the market for live updates (43 traders, as of Dec 23, 2025).