Who will be the winner of 2026 Norway Chess Women

Question

Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the name of the player who wins the 2026 Norway Chess Women tournament. The winner is defined as the player who finishes in first place in the final tournament standings, according to the official Norway Chess website (https://norwaychess.no/). In the event that a tie-break is required to determine the winner, the player declared the winner by the official tournament rules and final standings will be considered the correct outcome. If the tournament is canceled, this market will resolve to N/A.

Background

Norway Chess has established itself as one of the most prestigious events in the chess calendar. In recent years, the organizers have expanded the event to include a high-level women's tournament, running concurrently with the main event. The participants listed—Anna Muzychuk, Ju Wenjun, Koneru Humpy, Bibisara Assaubayeva, Divya Deshmukh, and Zhu Jiner—are top-ranked grandmasters. As the field for the 2026 tournament has not been finalized, this market may resolve to a player not listed in the options provided.

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Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, Bibisara Assaubayeva, followed by Zhu Jiner and Divya Deshmukh are most likely. See the market for live updates (19 traders, as of May 29, 2026).